- Bitcoin has what it takes to hit $140,000 in a few weeks, as teased by Raoul Pal.
- The correlation between Bitcoin and the M2 Global Money Supply is worth watching.
Raoul Pal, the Real Vision founder and well-known financial expert, has shared a bold Bitcoin (BTC) forecast. Pal said the flagship cryptocurrency could surpass $140,000 by July 2025.
This forecast stems from Pal’s careful analysis of global economic trends, particularly how liquidity supply shapes market behavior. Bitcoin has a spot price of $109,350 and per his prediction, the asset could rise more than 28% in the coming weeks.
Experts Say Liquidity Drives Bitcoin’s Climb
Pal explained that there is a strong correlation between the Bitcoin price movement and the global money supply, known as Global M2. This metric tracks the total amount of money circulating in the global economy. Pal believes this strongly influences Bitcoin’s trajectory.
To support his view, he showed past data that often shows that when Global M2 goes up, Bitcoin’s price usually rises about three months later. He explained how changes in the global money supply gave an early warning about Bitcoin’s drop in April, when the price fell to around $75,000.
As reported in our previous news brief, the global M2 money supply reached a record $108.4 trillion, reflecting more liquidity in the financial system. Now, Pal is expecting a similar pattern to play out. As liquidity flows back into the financial system, Bitcoin responds quickly, moving toward new highs.
In May, Pal predicted the Bitcoin price would reach new all-time highs. Now, he is more bullish, expecting the digital coin to go even higher, possibly above $140,000 by July. This is because Bitcoin’s price is mainly driven by how much money is available in the market, also known as liquidity.
However, Pal noted that this link between Bitcoin and the money supply is not fixed. He said Bitcoin’s price could eventually outpace the money supply itself. Current volatility even makes the growth trend complicated. As of writing, BTC was changing hands for $109,350, up 5.9% in the past week.
Investors’ Sentiment Impact Bitcoin’s Price
Pal noted that economic indicators and investor sentiment influence Bitcoin’s market cycles. Rising liquidity attracts investors at the start of a bull market, fueling price increases.
As optimism grows, more participants enter the market, further impacting prices. As highlighted in our previous article, when President Trump eased tariffs on China in April, market optimism increased, which helped Bitcoin’s price break key resistance levels.
However, this cycle can reverse when market sentiment shifts. After an asset price peaks, fear and uncertainty may cause investors to pull back, leading to declines. Pal said that knowing these patterns can help investors navigate market fluctuations.
Another factor that could support Pal’s projection is Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value Ratio (MVRV). As explained in our last analysis, this metric is still low because the realized cap has grown significantly. This means many holders are comfortable keeping their Bitcoin even at higher prices.
Meanwhile, many experts have suggested a more bullish price outlook for Bitcoin’s future. As featured in our latest coverage, Lark Davis mentioned that Bitcoin could reach $300,000 in 2025. This prediction is based on growing Bitcoin adoption and evolving market trends.
