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- Bitcoin’s hashrate reaches an all-time high, intensifying competition for miners.
- U.S. dominates the global hashrate, hinting at a strategic play in the hashrate battle.
Bitcoin’s inherent strength, often referred to as “hashrate,” has reached unprecedented levels, signaling both enhanced network security and heightened competition among miners. Data from Blockchain.com reveals that on October 12, Bitcoin’s hashrate peaked at a remarkable 447 exahashes per second. Another source, Bitinfocharts, places this figure slightly higher at 481 EH/s. Regardless of the minor discrepancy, both metrics agree: this is the zenith of Bitcoin’s hashrate.
Miners Grapple with Triple Challenges
The surge in hashrate isn’t the sole concern for miners. To contextualize, the hashrate has escalated 77% since the start of the year and a whopping 170% from the bull market climax in November 2021. With this, miners find it increasingly challenging to unearth the subsequent block in the blockchain. The impending difficulty adjustment, which could potentially rise by 7.4%, accentuates this predicament. Currently standing at a record 57.3T, the “difficulty” metric—indicative of miner rivalry—is at its pinnacle. Consequently, mining profitability, or “hashprice,” has plummeted by 85% since its bull market high, now hovering at a mere $0.06 per TH/s per day. Bitcoin miners are wrestling with a trio of adversities: soaring hash rates and difficulties, dwindling asset values, and escalating energy expenses. A tweet by S Matthew Schultz references JP Morgan’s predictions and other insights, stating,
“Not all miners created equal. Miners vary by scale, operating efficiency, access to capital and growth prospects. We believe CLSK, our top pick, offers the best balance of scale, growth potential, power costs, and relative value. MARA is the largest operator but has the highest… pic.twitter.com/Jj3CseRI6M
— S Matthew Schultz (@smatthewschultz) October 11, 2023
Earlier in the week, trading expert Oliver Velez highlighted a notable trend: the U.S. now commands a 40% chunk of the global hashrate. This supremacy is further underscored by BlackRock’s strategic investments in prominent Bitcoin mining corporations like Riot Platforms, Marathon Digital, Cipher Mining, Hut 8, and Terawulf. BlackRock’s financial support to the now-bankrupt Core Scientific last December further amplifies this narrative. In Velez’s words, “It is clear that the U.S. is playing to win the hashrate war.”
An Uncertain Future for Bitcoin Prices
The current trajectory suggests potential challenges ahead for Bitcoin miners. With the next Bitcoin halving expected in approximately six months, which will slice the block reward in half, the pressure on miners is set to intensify. For mining to maintain its profitability at present metrics, Bitcoin’s price would need to surge to approximately $90,000. However, the market seems to be veering off this course. As of now, Bitcoin stands steady at $26,844, though it has dipped 4% since the previous weekend. Immediate market predictions hint at a stable support around the $26K mark.
