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- A short-lived dip below $100K could be presenting a prime buying opportunity before Bitcoin resumes its long-term uptrend.
- Renewing U.S.–China tensions and macro tighten remaining the key short-term risks to monitor for volatility-driven sell-offs.
Following Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research, Geoffrey Kendrick, has forecasted an “inevitable” drop in Bitcoin’s price below the psychologically significant $100,000 mark – specifically, potentially as soon as this weekend. This bearishing call notably comes just three weeks after the same analyst also predicted that Bitcoin could surge to $135,000 in the nearing term.
According to a Crypto News Flash (CNF) report, the bank previously projected that with the decline in government bonding the yields, Bitcoin could reach $500,000. The report further noted:
Standard Chartered has a neutral outlook for global equities due to policy uncertainty and high volatility, but it is most optimistic about Bitcoin.
Furthermore, according to reports on Kendrick’s note to clients, he attributing the impending dip to a combination of macroeconomic pressures, with renewed U.S.–China trade frictions at the forefront.
In addition, President Donald Trump’s recent escalation of tariff threats against Beijing triggered a massive cryptocurrency sell-off only ever about two weeks ago, wiping out roughly $750 million in leveraging positions and sending Bitcoin tumbling from above $122,000 to $101,000 in a matter of only some hours.
However, Kendrick’s outlook isn’t a full-throated bear case. He describes the sub-$100,000 dip as “short-lived” and potentially “the last time Bitcoin is EVER below” that threshold – a tantalizing prospect for dip buyers eyeing the bank’s unchanged year-end target of $200,000 and a staggering $500,000 by 2028.
Implications of Standard Chartered’s Warning for BTC Price
According to our recent forecast, this warning underscore Bitcoin’s dual nature: a high-beta risk asset sensitive to macro shocks, yet fundamentally supported by scarcity and institutional adoption. In our analysts’ view, the pullback represents a healthy consolidation phase, clearing excess froth before the next leg up – potentially fueling by sustained ETF inflows, possible Federal Reserve rate cuts.
A breach below $100K however, could trigger an additional $1–2 billion in liquidations, accelerating the dip but also flushing out weak hands – a classic capitulation event that historically precedes 20–50% rebounds during bull markets.
As of now, Bitcoin’s price shows immediate risk near $109,919.35, marking a 1.52% increase over the past day but a 1.35% decline over the past week inevitably. This suggests that a prolonge trading war escalation might delay the $200K year-end target to Q1 2026.
Overall, the situation reinforcing Bitcoin’s trajectory as digital gold: volatile in the short term yet inexorably up in the long run. See BTC price chart below.
