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- The last time BTC dipped below $100,000 was in June, and current data shows that 63% of market participants believe it could fall below that level again.
- The $100K zone is acting as a key support region for Bitcoin, reinforced by growing sentiment that the asset will track gold’s expansion trend.
At the start of the year, on January 20, Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, momentarily crossed the $100,000 mark and peaked near $109,000, a level that was treated as an all-time high at the time.
This move stirred fresh debates about whether Bitcoin’s next chapter will be defined by sustained strength, Trump’s administration, or renewed volatility.
Crypto analyst Plan B recently weighed in on X, noting that 63% of followers expect Bitcoin to fall below $100K at some point in the future. But he offered a contrarian view:
I would not be surprised if Bitcoin does NOT drop below $100K again, as we see $100K resistance turn into $100K support.
The September close was the fifth monthly close in a row above $100K. The same thing played out previously with $10K, $1K, $100, and $10.
According to our analysis, the last time Bitcoin traded under $100K was June 23, when it hit about $99,705. A major floor could be forming; that $100K, formerly a ceiling, may now act as a foundation against further declines.
Markets are also voicing their opinions through betting and prediction platforms. On Polymarket, for instance, a live market asks whether Bitcoin will fall below $100,000 before 2026. The odds have been shifting, with some estimates suggesting a 61% chance that Bitcoin could dip below $100K before the end of 2025.
These confident predictions and cautious skepticism highlight the ongoing uncertainty and tension surrounding Bitcoin’s next big move.
What Will Make BTC Hold Above 100K?
Earlier this year, President Donald Trump issued an executive order that officially set the groundwork for the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Crypto-supportive Senator Cynthia Lummis recently hinted that funding for this long-discussed initiative could begin soon, although the exact funding mechanism has yet to be disclosed.
More governments worldwide now possess Bitcoin, either as part of formal reserve strategies or from confiscations linked to law enforcement actions.
At the same time, major corporations are stacking Bitcoin on their balance sheets. MicroStrategy leads the pack with over 640,000 BTC, followed by MARA Holdings with 52,850 BTC, and Metaplanet Inc. holding 30,823 BTC.
This institutional accumulation has become one of Bitcoin’s strongest stabilizing forces, supported even further by surging inflows into spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
Data from SoSoValue shows that Bitcoin ETFs saw an unprecedented $1.21 billion in net inflows on October 6, 2025, the largest single-day inflow this year and part of a six-day surge totaling $4.35 billion. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) accounted for the bulk of that activity, drawing in close to $1 billion.
This steady influx highlights how ETFs have become a reliable engine of demand, helping to stabilize Bitcoin’s market performance.
Historically, October has been one of Bitcoin’s best-performing months, and this year is no exception. BTC is currently trading around $124,198, up nearly 10% in the past week, after briefly touching a new all-time high above $126,000 just yesterday.
